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M2: Ellerslie

Start time:		12:00 PM
Weather:		Overcast
Track:		Soft5

Days "Best"

R3 (1) Bulgari

Best "Each Way"

R7 (9) Rocking

Best "Roughie"

R5 (10) Melkor

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Race 1 - MYRACEHORSE 1100

Time: 12:00 PM | Distance: 1100 m | Prize $ 40000
Top Pick

5 Fatal Affair

F:   B(4) W(54.0)
( J- Matt Cartwright )
( T- Stephen Marsh )

They came for this Stephen Marsh runner big time when the markets opened and now its odds on. Has won both trials, the last won by an easy 4 1/2 lengths

Main Danger

3 She's No Saint

F: 236X   B(3) W(54.0)
( J- Samantha Collett )
( T- Michelle Bradley )

Resumes after three runs in last campaign, the last on Karaka Millions night. We'll see a more mature filly today

Next Best

1 Dee Oyster
Dividend : $1.50

Place

F: 1   B(2) W(57.0)
( J- Masa Hashizume )
( T- Sophia Nolan and Hanna Orting )

Opened up as pre-race favourite after winning on debut last start two weeks ago. Will be in the finish

Consider

6 Pounce
Dividend : $8.00, $3.20

Won

F: 8X   B(5) W(54.0)
( J- Jasmine Fawcett )
( T- Lance O'Sullivan & Andrew Scott )

Just the one run late last year and now resumes on the back of a trial win. Jasmine was enthusiastic about its chances, when interviewed yesterday

Longer Odds

2 High Goal
Dividend : $5.50

Place

F: 43   B(6) W(56.0)
( J- Sam McNab )
( T- Roger James & Robert Wellwood )

Has been a big drifter but the horse doesn't know that and can be the one to boost your multis

Results

Race Dividends
Win 6 $ 8.00

Place1 6 $ 3.20

Place2 1 $ 1.50

Place3 2 $ 5.50

Quinella 1:6 $ 7.80

Trifecta 6:1:2 $ 130.60

First4 6:1:2:7 $ 554.40
Race 2 - THE LAWN SHED HCP 2100

Time: 12:35 PM | Distance: 2100 m | Prize $ 45000
Top Pick

1 Pacifico
Dividend : $2.10, $1.35

Won

F: 07131   B(6) W(60.5)
( J- Opie Bosson )
( T- Andrew Forsman )

Opie picks up the ride on this in-form 5yo. A winner of two of its last three, including the Rotorua Cup 2 weeks ago, it beat most of these that day and should be winning

Main Danger

5 Rosetown Princess

F: 66486   B(2) W(54.0)
( J- Ethan Jones )
( T- Darrell Hollinshead )

Was the closest of today's four runners to finish behind Pacifico two weeks ago and can run into a place today

Next Best

2 Hezashocka

F: X0309   B(4) W(58.0)
( J- Sam McNab )
( T- Shaun & Emma Clotworthy )

We expect this one didn't really enjoy the Heavy track at Rotorua and will go better in the Soft today

Consider

3 Khan Hunter
Dividend : $2.30

Place

F: 05210   B(5) W(56.0)
( J- Matthew Cameron )
( T- Antony Fuller )

A winner two back, it's is hard to know why it showed little last time. Has to be considered

Longer Odds

6 Bosch

F: 070X0   B(3) W(54.0)
( J- Samantha Collett )
( T- Michelle Bradley )

With Drop Of Something not running well right now, this one goes in as the 'roughie'

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 2.10

Place1 1 $ 1.35

Place2 3 $ 2.30

Place3 4 $ 3.50

Quinella 1:3 $ 4.30

Trifecta 1:3:4 $ 35.60

First4 1:3:4:5 $ 82.20

Double 6:1 $ 16.50
Race 3 - TRACKSIDE.CO.NZ 1500

Time: 1:11 PM | Distance: 1500 m | Prize $ 40000
Top Pick
The 'Day's Best'

1 Bulgari
Dividend : $2.30, $1.45

Won

F: 42562   B(3) W(57.0)
( J- Corentin Berge )
( T- Darryn & Briar Weatherley )

On the quick back up from last week, when it was just run out of it by the strong run of talented King's English. Up to 1500m and with French jockey taking the reins, we like its chances

Main Danger

3 Arthur

F: 518X5   B(1) W(57.0)
( J- Samantha Collett )
( T- Tony Pike )

Just the one win from 8 starts but that's not surprising given its mainly run in Stakes races. Goes again here and rails draw for good run in journey

Next Best

2 Yokozuna

F: 12X56   B(5) W(57.0)
( J- Masa Hashizume )
( T- Donna Logan )

Looked a very exciting prospect in its first two runs last winter but was spelled after that and hasn't shown up yet this campaign. Third up today might bring the improvement

Consider

4 Accentuate
Dividend : $3.30

Place

F: 6X823   B(6) W(55.0)
( J- Matt Cartwright )
( T- Andrew Forsman )

Has run well in 5 races to date and now Andrew Forsman gives it its chance in Stakes company

Longer Odds

7 Savvy Donna

F: 81506   B(4) W(55.0)
( J- Michael McNab )
( T- Ray Fleming )

Anything can happen, as the races become a game of tactics, in these small fields

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 2.30

Place1 1 $ 1.45

Place2 4 $ 3.30

Place3 6 $ 3.50

Quinella 1:4 $ 7.30

Trifecta 1:4:6 $ 56.60

First4 1:4:6:3 $ 155.60
Race 4 - THE LAWN SHED MDN 1400

Time: 1:51 PM | Distance: 1400 m | Prize $ 30000
Top Pick

15 Pre Nup

F:   B(9) W(56.5)
( J- Masa Hashizume )
( T- Roger James & Robert Wellwood )

On debut and has found a good opportunity to get off on a winning note. Comes to race day after two impressive trial performances, winning both without being pushed out. Wide draw the only concern

Main Danger

3 Fighter Ace

F: 3   B(2) W(58.5)
( J- Sam McNab )
( T- Stephen Autridge )

Second start today and has that valuable race day experience to advantage. Was only just beaten here and the second that day has gone on to win impressively last week

Next Best

7 Miss Parker

F: 2424X   B(6) W(56.5)
( J- Michael McNab )
( T- Kylie Hoskin )

This trainer has been a big improver this season and produced this one to produce 5 seconds from its 9 starts. Clearly, it has some ability

Consider

1 Dare To Proisir
Dividend : $3.00

Place

F: X34X4   B(11) W(58.5)
( J- Opie Bosson )
( T- Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson )

Second start this time up for this Te Akau runner and it will be winning soon. But gate 13 makes it tough here

Longer Odds

4 Latino

F: 54   B(5) W(58.5)
( J- Matthew Cameron )
( T- Annabelle Johnson )

Looks the EW value bet considering it improved at its second start last time, to finish alongside Fighter Ace and not far off subsequent winner Luvabeel

Results

Race Dividends
Win 9 $ 10.00

Place1 9 $ 3.20

Place2 1 $ 3.00

Place3 17 $ 4.20

Quinella 1:9 $ 29.20

Trifecta 9:1:17 $ 1453.20

First4 9:1:17:7 $ 5149.00

Double 1:9 $ 16.10

Treble 1:1:9 $ 66.70
Race 5 - CAMBRIDGE STUD 2100

Time: 2:32 PM | Distance: 2100 m | Prize $ 40000
Top Pick

1 Gate Crashers
Dividend : $5.00, $2.10

Won

F: 23503   B(9) W(60.0)
( J- Wiremu Pinn )
( T- Shaune Ritchie & Colm Murray )

Third up and coming off a 2400m race, this one should be at peak fitness for today's assignment. Beaten just a neck last time

Main Danger

11 Fantastic Ideas

F: 718   B(4) W(57.0)
( J- Matt Cartwright )
( T- Roger James & Robert Wellwood )

Just the three runs and shaping up as a talented galloper. After wining its maiden, it finished just 5 lengths from Solid Gold in a G3 and that's a good formline now

Next Best

13 Hero Of War
Dividend : $2.60

Place

F: 45503   B(8) W(56.0)
( J- Warren Kennedy )
( T- Barbara Kennedy )

Just the 7 runs and now stepping up from 1400m to 2100m. Good trainer will think it's ready

Consider

12 Honor Mission

F: 16X56   B(15) W(56.5)
( J- Masa Hashizume )
( T- Roger James & Robert Wellwood )

Third up this campaign and now steps up in distance, having won its maiden over 2200m in December

Longer Odds
Best "Roughie"

10 Melkor

F: 9X035   B(5) W(57.5)
( J- Courtney Barnes )
( T- G A & D G Rogerson & Clint Isdale )

Improved performances in last two runs. Scratched mid-week due to Heavy track conditions

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 5.00

Place1 1 $ 2.10

Place2 4 $ 3.80

Place3 13 $ 2.60

Quinella 1:4 $ 26.30

Trifecta 1:4:13 $ 328.30

First4 1:4:13:15 $ 3072.80
Race 6 - JRA TROPHY HCP 1600

Time: 3:08 PM | Distance: 1600 m | Prize $ 45000
Top Pick

6 El Viento
Dividend : $1.80

Place

F: 11X24   B(1) W(54.0)
( J- Samantha Collett )
( T- Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson )

This Te Akau runner has proved in its two runs this season that it is up to winning an Open class race and will be at peak fitness for this. Rails draw to advantage

Main Danger

9 Lachie

F: 36103   B(5) W(54.0)
( J- Masa Hashizume )
( T- Barbara Kennedy )

Although behind Lupo Solitario two back, it ran well into third last Saturday and will have race fitness on its side. On the quick back up and that's a good sign

Next Best

2 Lupo Solitario
Dividend : $1.60

Place

F: X0411   B(8) W(56.5)
( J- Wiremu Pinn )
( T- Danica Guy )

A winner of a G3 when last at the races 5 weeks ago, it has to be a strong chance to complete the hattrick. Wide draw is the challenge

Consider

5 Uderzo

F: 55762   B(3) W(54.0)
( J- Warren Kennedy )
( T- Lance O'Sullivan & Andrew Scott )

It's been a while since it won but this stable does look to have it back close to its best. Warren Kennedy rides

Longer Odds

10 Rudyard

F: 9X863   B(7) W(54.0)
( J- Tayla Mitchell )
( T- Diana Kennedy )

Has gone better since resuming from a spell and finished alongside Uderzo three weeks ago, a good performance

Results

Race Dividends
Win 3 $ 8.50

Place1 3 $ 2.60

Place2 2 $ 1.60

Place3 6 $ 1.80

Quinella 2:3 $ 16.30

Trifecta 3:2:6 $ 147.10

First4 3:2:6:9 $ 776.70

Double 1:3 $ 53.90
Race 7 - GOLF WAREHOUSE 1400

Time: 3:42 PM | Distance: 1400 m | Prize $ 40000
Top Pick
Best "Each Way"

9 Rocking

F: 1133X   B(4) W(55.5)
( J- Warren Kennedy )
( T- Donna Logan )

This 4yo mare could be in for a good season, back today after an 8 month spell. Progressed well last campaign and sure to be more mature now

Main Danger

8 Magice
Dividend : $1.90

Place

F: X1X74   B(5) W(56.5)
( J- Michael McNab )
( T- Kris Shailer )

Third up today and ran well to be just a length away last start. Extra 200m should suit today and Michael McNab is reunited

Next Best

1 Sweet Smile
Dividend : $2.90, $1.45

Won

F: X1211   B(1) W(59.5)
( J- Masa Hashizume )
( T- Jenna Mahoney )

Has been in a rich vein of form since resuming in February to win 3 and finish second in the other of its 4 races. Hasn't been winning them by much though

Consider

5 Daring Pursuit

F: X18X7   B(6) W(57.5)
( J- Sam McNab )
( T- Tony Pike )

Will take improvement from run here two weeks ago and Sam McNab brings the 2kg claim again

Longer Odds

10 Chante Moi

F: 20X34   B(7) W(55.0)
( J- Courtney Barnes )
( T- Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall )

Despite coming out of gate 12 at Te Rapa last start, it ran well to be just a 1/2 length away at the line. Third up today and at peak fitness

Results

Race Dividends
Win 1 $ 2.90

Place1 1 $ 1.45

Place2 8 $ 1.90

Place3 4 $ 2.60

Quinella 1:8 $ 7.70

Trifecta 1:8:4 $ 60.30

First4 1:8:4:10 $ 238.10
Race 8 - SHOW BY SKYCITY 1600

Time: 4:17 PM | Distance: 1600 m | Prize $ 40000
Top Pick

4 Orson Stone

F: 16X63   B(7) W(59.5)
( J- Matt Cartwright )
( T- Andrew Forsman )

With only 6 starts, this 4yo has left the impression that it could rise through the grades. Third up today and this good Australian jockey takes over and adds to its chances

Main Danger

9 Blesstas

F: 7X613   B(6) W(57.5)
( J- Samantha Collett )
( T- Benjamin King )

You've got to like what this young trainer is bringing to the game and he's winning races. This one followed up a R60 win to be less than two lengths away last time and Sam sticks

Next Best

10 Free Bird
Dividend : $2.00

Place

F: 8X671   B(12) W(57.5)
( J- Michael McNab )
( T- David Greene )

Clearly a galloper with ability and trainer has had his best season. Nice win last start and could go on with it but wide draw to contend with

Consider

13 Lodi Dodi
Dividend : $2.60

Place

F: 64379   B(5) W(56.5)
( J- Rihaan Goyaram )
( T- Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall )

Consistently close up in its runs and although 9th last start, was in fact only just over 3 lengths from the winner

Longer Odds

3 Mo Charaid

F: 70X50   B(8) W(59.5)
( J- Joe Nishizuka )
( T- Terry Wenn )

Showed itself to have good ability last campaign and now third up this time, should be ready to get in the mix

Results

Race Dividends
Win 5 $ 27.00

Place1 5 $ 6.50

Place2 10 $ 2.00

Place3 13 $ 2.60

Quinella 5:10 $ 84.50

Trifecta 5:10:13 $ 2093.00

First4 5:10:13:4 $ 8909.70

Double 1:5 $ 64.30

Treble 3:1:5 $ 1199.10

Quaddie 1:3:1:5 $ 7560.70