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• 

  Race 1 - Channel 9 Carbine Club Stakes (G3)

  Time: 2:20 PM | Distance: 1600 m | Prize $ 570000
• Top Pick

  

  5 Regal Award  

  Dividend : $1.10

  Place

  F: x5141   B(2)  W(57.0)

   ( J- Lachlan Neindorf )

   ( T- Phillip Stokes )

  It couldn't have been more impressive last start, and that form should stack up well here. Rising in class, but clearly good enough to handle it.

  Main Danger

  

  1 Vinrock  

  F: x4154   B(2)  W(59.5)

   ( J- Mark Zahra )

   ( T- Matt Laurie )

  Another classy runner that didn't get all favours in the run its last couple. Good enough to beat this field, and it only needs to find the front.

  Next Best

  

  2 West Of Swindon  

  F: x4219   B(4)  W(58.5)

   ( J- Ben Melham )

   ( T- Ciaron Maher )

  A speedy runner that will look to find the front. A good chance of leading all the way if things go its way. Can't be discounted.

  Consider

  

  9 Panova  

  Dividend : $5.10, $1.50

  Won

  F: 2421   B(6)  W(56.0)

   ( J- Tommy Berry )

   ( T- Chris Waller )

  Comes off a win at Randwick, and although it didn't come in this class, it has been well backed to win. That's an excellent sign, so it can't be overlooked.

  Longer Odds

  

  7 Kilman  

  F: 0x569   B(5)  W(57.0)

   ( J- Adam Hyeronimus )

   ( T- Chris Waller )

  Needs to get back to its best, but it has been specked at odds. That betting move could be telling.

  Results

  Race Dividends

  Win 9 $ 5.10

  Place1 9 $ 1.50

  Place2 5 $ 1.10

  Place3 6 $ 4.40

  Quinella 5:9 $ 3.90

  Trifecta 9:5:6 $ 80.90

  First4 9:5:6:2 $ 436.90

• 

  Race 2 - The Tab Vanity (G3)

  Time: 3:00 PM | Distance: 1400 m | Prize $ 273600
• Top Pick

  

  2 Stardom  

  F: 1x051   B(7)  W(57.5)

   ( J- Craig Williams )

   ( T- Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott )

  A strong winner last time out, and there is nothing wrong with that form. Good enough to put them away with a repeat of that effort.

  Main Danger

  

  4 Sheza Alibi  

  Dividend : $2.00, $1.20

  Won

  F: 112x3   B(2)  W(57.0)

   ( J- Luke Nolen )

   ( T- Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman )

  The best-backed runner in the field, and despite being too short in the betting, it should give punters a good sight. Can't be left out.

  Next Best

  

  9 Teine Aulelei  

  Dividend : $1.80

  Place

  F: 13x35   B(12)  W(56.0)

   ( J- Ben Melham )

   ( T- Luke Oliver )

  A debut winner before running third solid efforts in defeat. A strong customer that is good enough to handle this level of racing with improvement.

  Consider

  

  5 Live  

  F: 12   B(3)  W(56.0)

   ( J- Jamie Melham )

   ( T- Clinton McDonald )

  Two starts for a win and a placing, and that form is good enough to show up here. Another that needs to improve to win, but it can.

  Longer Odds

  Best "Roughie"

  

  1 Icarian Dream  

  Dividend : $4.20

  Place

  F: 0x764   B(6)  W(58.5)

   ( J- Ben Allen )

   ( T- Ciaron Maher )

  An excellent bet at the odds. It has been warming up towards a big performance, and it's been let go by bookies.

  Results

  Race Dividends

  Win 4 $ 2.00

  Place1 4 $ 1.20

  Place2 9 $ 1.80

  Place3 1 $ 4.20

  Quinella 4:9 $ 8.50

  Trifecta 4:9:1 $ 113.20

  First4 4:9:1:8 $ 663.80

  Double 9:4 $ 6.30

• 

  Race 3 - G.h. Mumm Rising Fast Stakes (G3)

  Time: 3:41 PM | Distance: 1200 m | Prize $ 273600
• Top Pick

  

  9 Geegees Mistruth  

  Dividend : $1.60

  Place

  F: 11x02   B(11)  W(54.0)

   ( J- Craig Williams )

   ( T- Mark Walker )

  A lovely type when it puts everything together, and that was almost last time out. That was a slashing run for second, and it likes this time of the year.

  Main Danger

  

  4 Star Patrol  

  F: 90x23   B(3)  W(58.0)

   ( J- Ben Melham )

   ( T- Clinton McDonald )

  Better for two placings this campaign, and it doesn't need to life too much to beat this field. Drawn well, and it should run well.

  Next Best

  

  10 Hedged  

  F: 535x2   B(9)  W(54.0)

   ( J- Jamie Melham )

   ( T- Gavin Bedggood )

  It should get a nice drag into the race from the middle draw. Likely to make its way out wider, and it could settle handy and kick strongly.

  Consider

  

  5 Caballus  

  Dividend : $4.40, $1.60

  Won

  F: 7x1x5   B(6)  W(57.0)

   ( J- Tommy Berry )

   ( T- Bjorn Baker )

  A solid enough effort for fifth fresh up, and it could fire up here. Heavily backed to win, so that is a good sign. Worth including as the favourite.

  Longer Odds

  

  1 Libertad  

  F: 178x4   B(10)  W(59.0)

   ( J- Jamie Mott )

   ( T- Annabel & Rob Archibald )

  Enigmatic at the best of times, but it has enough speed to handle this class. Its best sees its winning.

  Results

  Race Dividends

  Win 5 $ 4.40

  Place1 5 $ 1.60

  Place2 9 $ 1.60

  Place3 2 $ 4.50

  Quinella 5:9 $ 10.70

  Trifecta 5:9:2 $ 275.50

  First4 5:9:2:8 $ 2646.70

• 

  Race 4 - Hkjc World Pool Wakeful Stakes (G2)

  Time: 4:20 PM | Distance: 2000 m | Prize $ 342000
• Top Pick

  

  1 Getta Good Feeling  

  Dividend : $1.40, $1.10

  Won

  F: x3213   B(6)  W(57.0)

   ( J- Mark Zahra )

   ( T- Danny O'Brien )

  A very nice type in the making after placing behind two nice types in the Caulfield Guineas. No surprises to see it open as a short fav.

  Main Danger

  

  7 Fashionable  

  F: 631   B(4)  W(55.0)

   ( J- Tommy Berry )

   ( T- Michael Freedman )

  Got off the mark with a good win, and it could rise the grades quickly. It has plenty of promise, and the odds are worth including.

  Next Best

  

  3 Freedom Flame  

  F: 84421   B(9)  W(56.0)

   ( J- Jamie Melham )

   ( T- Andrew Gluyas )

  It capped off solid form to score last start, and it hasn't been missing in betting markets. Could be another type ready to rise the ranks.

  Consider

  

  4 Prestige Snitzel  

  F: 1x073   B(5)  W(55.0)

   ( J- Jamie Mott )

   ( T- Matt Laurie )

  Better than what it has shown this prep, but that was a better effort when third last time out. Good enough to keep that form going here.

  Longer Odds

  

  2 Ethereum Girl  

  F: 21x48   B(2)  W(57.0)

   ( J- Michael Dee )

   ( T- Ben, Will & Jd Hayes )

  Already a two-time winner this campaign and it could add another. Drawing well only helps its chances.

  Results

  Race Dividends

  Win 1 $ 1.40

  Place1 1 $ 1.10

  Place2 5 $ 2.90

  Place3 8 $ 6.60

  Quinella 1:5 $ 9.00

  Trifecta 1:5:8 $ 146.00

  First4 1:5:8:7 $ 835.80

• 

  Race 5 - The Abc Bullion Damien Oliver (G2)

  Time: 5:00 PM | Distance: 1400 m | Prize $ 570000
• Top Pick

  

  13 King Zephyr  

  F: 0x312   B(7)  W(53.0)

   ( J- Jordan Childs )

   ( T- Grahame Begg )

  Had no chance of winning last start based on the slow tempo. Should be better suited here, and we love the way it finds the line with purpose.

  Main Danger

  

  14 Ndola  

  F: 93x11   B(12)  W(53.0)

   ( J- Luke Currie )

   ( T- Ben, Will & Jd Hayes )

  It has always promised to deliver and it's starting to live up to its potential. Back-to-back wins were good, and it could add another.

  Next Best

  

  4 Zou Sensation  

  Dividend : $1.50

  Place

  F: 11461   B(4)  W(57.5)

   ( J- Ben Allen )

   ( T- L & T Corstens & W Larkin )

  It got the better of King Zephyr last time out, but the race was in its favour. However, it was still a tough win on the speed, and it could adopt similar tactics.

  Consider

  

  6 Warnie  

  Dividend : $5.00, $1.80

  Won

  F: 45742   B(7)  W(56.5)

   ( J- Mark Zahra )

   ( T- Ciaron Maher )

  Not the easiest runner to follow this prep, but that was a tidy effort last time out. A chance with the Flemington straight to warm up.

  Longer Odds

  

  2 Payline  

  F: x5664   B(9)  W(58.5)

   ( J- Craig Williams )

   ( T- Chris & Corey Munce )

  It will appreciate not facing Group 1 runners, and that could pay off. Can't be left out at the odds.

  Results

  Race Dividends

  Win 6 $ 5.00

  Place1 6 $ 1.80

  Place2 4 $ 1.50

  Place3 12 $ 2.10

  Quinella 4:6 $ 8.20

  Trifecta 6:4:12 $ 104.90

  First4 6:4:12:1 $ 462.20

  Double 1:6 $ 7.30

  Treble 5:1:6 $ 44.10

• 

  Race 6 - Coolmore Stud Stakes (G1)

  Time: 5:41 PM | Distance: 1200 m | Prize $ 2280000
• Top Pick

  The 'Day's Best'

  

  3 Tentyris  

  Dividend : $2.40, $1.20

  Won

  F: 21x31   B(5)  W(57.0)

   ( J- Mark Zahra )

   ( T- Anthony & Sam Freedman )

  We believe it's better suited to sprinting than the top weight. A blistering turn-of-foot last time out, and a repeat should be enough to win the G1.

  Main Danger

  

  10 Beadman  

  F: 11x32   B(8)  W(57.0)

   ( J- Blake Shinn )

   ( T- Peter Snowden )

  It had no luck in running last start when finishing second in Sydney. Anything close to its best is enough to contest. Group 1 winner in the waiting.

  Next Best

  

  1 Beiwacht  

  F: 0x321   B(10)  W(57.0)

   ( J- Adam Hyeronimus )

   ( T- Chris Waller )

  Couldn't have been stronger last start, but dropping from 1400m is an interesting training decision. Could well pay off, and it's too good to leave out.

  Consider

  

  7 Raging Force  

  F: 11172   B(7)  W(57.0)

   ( J- Tommy Berry )

   ( T- Peter Snowden )

  Couldn't quite hold off the top pick last start, but it's an on-pace runner that could hold on for a win or placing. Rock-hard fit, so include.

  Longer Odds

  

  5 Skyhook  

  F: 7x134   B(2)  W(57.0)

   ( J- Craig Williams )

   ( T- Gerald Ryan & Sterling Alexiou )

  Form in Sydney has been solid enough to include in picks. Already a big race winner, so it can't be left out.

  Results

  Race Dividends

  Win 3 $ 2.40

  Place1 3 $ 1.20

  Place2 12 $ 3.60

  Place3 9 $ 6.30

  Quinella 3:12 $ 22.50

  Trifecta 3:12:9 $ 465.60

  First4 3:12:9:1 $ 1276.00

• 

  Race 7 - Howden Victoria Derby (G1)

  Time: 6:23 PM | Distance: 2500 m | Prize $ 2280000
• Top Pick

  Best "Each Way"

  

  5 Options  

  F: 11315   B(7)  W(57.0)

   ( J- Harry Coffey )

   ( T- Tony & Calvin McEvoy )

  We can't quite believe the price. One of the Derby favs following a win two back, and it had no luck behind Observer at The Valley. Flemington is ideal.

  Main Danger

  

  1 Observer  

  Dividend : $2.10, $1.30

  Won

  F: 5x231   B(4)  W(57.0)

   ( J- Mark Zahra )

   ( T- Ciaron Maher )

  Drifting odds after toying with them at The Valley. That was a smart outing, but the 2500m has caught out some brilliant types. Can't be left out either way.

  Next Best

  

  6 Providence  

  F: 60382   B(12)  W(57.0)

   ( J- Craig Williams )

   ( T- Chris Waller )

  It found the line well at The Valley, despite the winner easing up. It was a good showing, and it looks like a solid Derby type. Williams riding helps.

  Consider

  

  4 Miewa  

  F: 44122   B(8)  W(57.0)

   ( J- Jordan Childs )

   ( T- Nick Ryan )

  Never too far away from the prize and it has been battling well to the line. Not all favours last start, and it's sneaking under the radar.

  Longer Odds

  

  7 Azazel  

  F: 141   B(10)  W(57.0)

   ( J- Michael Dee )

   ( T- Mark Walker )

  Two wins from three starts, and the Geelong Classic could be a good form guide. Every chance of figuring in the finish.

  Results

  Race Dividends

  Win 1 $ 2.10

  Place1 1 $ 1.30

  Place2 8 $ 16.90

  Place3 16 $ 5.80

  Quinella 1:8 $ 100.50

  Trifecta 1:8:16 $ 2086.20

  First4 1:8:16:13 $ 55681.00

• 

  Race 8 - Tab Empire Rose Stakes (G1)

  Time: 7:01 PM | Distance: 1600 m | Prize $ 1140000
• Top Pick

  

  2 Fangirl  

  F: 1x416   B(6)  W(57.0)

   ( J- Kerrin McEvoy )

   ( T- Chris Waller )

  It got a touch too far back last start and they weren't making ground from the back. Should be much better suited to racing at Flemington.

  Main Danger

  

  6 Leica Lucy  

  Dividend : $1.80

  Place

  F: 14x43   B(3)  W(57.0)

   ( J- Mark Zahra )

   ( T- Chris Waller )

  The Kiwi mare is close to producing its best in Australia after two massive runs this season. Natural improvement is enough to take it close.

  Next Best

  

  4 Damask Rose  

  F: 1x576   B(9)  W(57.0)

   ( J- Blake Shinn )

   ( T- Mark Walker )

  Another Kiwi that gets every chance at a suitable track. Its last chance to show something in Aus, but the raw ability is there.

  Consider

  

  1 Pride Of Jenni  

  Dividend : $4.90, $2.50

  Won

  F: 10x17   B(7)  W(57.0)

   ( J- Declan Bates )

   ( T- Ciaron Maher )

  We don't know how well it wil run, but the class is too much to overlook. Showed that when winning fresh up, and it deserves another chance.

  Longer Odds

  

  9 Splash Back  

  F: 52512   B(10)  W(57.0)

   ( J- Jordan Childs )

   ( T- Grahame Begg )

  Likely to get back, and rising in distance shouldn't worry it. Good enough to be right in the finish.

  Results

  Race Dividends

  Win 1 $ 4.90

  Place1 1 $ 2.50

  Place2 6 $ 1.80

  Place3 11 $ 7.20

  Quinella 1:6 $ 15.00

  Trifecta 1:6:11 $ 376.10

  First4 1:6:11:2 $ 1843.20

• 

  Race 9 - Kirin Ichiban Sprint (G3)

  Time: 7:40 PM | Distance: 1100 m | Prize $ 273600
• Top Pick

  

  2 Arabian Summer  

  Dividend : $1.70

  Place

  F: 9x364   B(5)  W(57.0)

   ( J- Blake Shinn )

   ( T- Tony & Calvin McEvoy )

  Better for three runs this preparation and it has been met with good betting support. Good enough to take this out at each-way odds.

  Main Danger

  

  3 She's Bulletproof  

  F: 25x01   B(2)  W(57.0)

   ( J- Ben Allen )

   ( T- Charlotte Littlefield )

  Nothing wrong with its last-start win, and it often lives up to its name. Likely to settle on the speed and show its customary kick.

  Next Best

  

  6 Generosity  

  F: 5x937   B(1)  W(56.0)

   ( J- Tommy Berry )

   ( T- Chris Waller )

  Heavily backed in the Sydney Stakes but it found nothing. We believe it's better going this way around, so we're giving it another chance.

  Consider

  

  13 Soft Love  

  F: 725x2   B(4)  W(55.0)

   ( J- Harry Coffey )

   ( T- Matt Laurie )

  Never too far away from the prize, and that was a good effort last time out. 55kg on its back and every chance of winning.

  Longer Odds

  

  10 New York Lustre  

  Dividend : $9.60, $3.10

  Won

  F: 24473   B(12)  W(55.0)

   ( J- Carleen Hefel )

   ( T- Enver Jusufovic )

  The stable is running hot, and it could sneak under the radar at odds. Could boost payouts.

  Results

  Race Dividends

  Win 10 $ 9.60

  Place1 10 $ 3.10

  Place2 14 $ 4.00

  Place3 2 $ 1.70

  Quinella 10:14 $ 47.00

  Trifecta 10:14:2 $ 552.80

  First4 10:14:2:15 $ 6182.30

  Double 1:10 $ 71.90

  Treble 1:1:10 $ 209.20

  Quaddie 3:1:1:10 $ 702.70